Bracketology: February 3, 2020

1: Kansas, Baylor, San Diego State, Duke
2: West Virginia, Gonzaga, Louisville, Dayton
3: Maryland, Villanova, Auburn, Florida State
4: Seton Hall, Oregon, Michigan State, LSU
5: Creighton, Butler, Colorado, Marquette
6: Arizona, Kentucky, Arkansas, Penn State
7: Ohio State, Iowa, Wichita State, Houston
8: Rutgers, Illinois, Michigan, BYU
9: Indiana, Wisconsin, Rhode Island, Florida
10: USC, N Iowa, St Mary’s, Xavier
11: Virginia, VCU, Memphis, Mississippi State, Stanford
12: Texas Tech, Texas, Yale, Liberty, UNC Greensboro
13: Stephen F Austin, Vermont, Akron, Louisiana Tech
14: New Mexico State, Colgate, Wright State, Winthrop
15: Georgia State, N Colorado, Belmont, Charleston
16: South Dakota State, UC Irvine, St Francis PA, Rider, Prairie View A&M, Norfolk State

Last Four Byes: Xavier, Virginia, VCU, Memphis
Last Four In: Mississippi State, Stanford, Texas Tech, Texas
First Four Out: Oklahoma, Richmond, Cincinnati, Arizona State
Next Four Out: Georgetown, Saint Louis, East Tennessee State, Utah State
At-Large In: Xavier, Mississippi State
At-Large Out: Oklahoma, Richmond
Autobid In: Charleston (CAA), St Francis PA (NEC)
Autobid Out: Northeastern (CAA), Bryant (NEC)
(Autobid choices are decided by which team my model believes has the highest probability of winning the conference tournament)

Bids by conference:
Big Ten 10
Big East 6
SEC 6
Big XII 5
Pac-12 5
ACC 4
AAC 3
A-10 3
WCC 3

Full bracket – with all the Big Ten teams in the 8 and 9 range, Rutgers had to be elevated to the 7 line to make them fit. Houston is a #8 instead.

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